Be patient.
This AUG 25 post still holds true almost two months later.
SPY@ StockCharts
Also, EPS Overrides Fundies!
Showing posts with label TA peak. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TA peak. Show all posts
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Friday, September 18, 2009
Friday, September 11, 2009
Looking for a Legit Breach
The bullish argument is getting increasingly difficult as conflicting data rolls in.
JUL Total Consumer Credit just came in at a $21.5B loss - while - JUL Retail Sales came in $4.5B higher.
JUL CapU & iProd fell off a cliff as actual employment rose by 229,000 jobs.
Gooooood Gravy!
Actual employment dropped from JUL to AUG by 981,000.
(NFP & unemployment are such magician misdirections from what's really happening).
Does actual employment lead CapU & iProd?
I dunno?
I'm also dying to see if AUG Retail Sales and Durable Goods Orders + Non-DGO also drop with employment or if they remain high simply adding to Q3 revenues & earnings.
However, for the very short term I see a what-have-you EWT pattern bull run to SPX >1100 (Note the AUG 4 date!) to complete wave 5 of C.
Then all hell can break loose.
I have a hard time with the perpetual "The markets gonna fall simply because it's up" argument.
Dumb reason or not, there's gotta be a reason, a catalyst, to kick this bull in the balls, and... it just hasn't gotten here, yet.
I'm just waiting.
Using these Treasury auction bid-to-cover ratios as financial sonar "pings" to see how much money is out there on the sidelines + the unspent stimulus money I can conjure a truly ice cold, bear nightmare: What if what we all think is going to be EWT ABC5 of 2 @ SPX circa 1100 is actually... only A of 2!
Thursday, September 10, 2009
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Sunday, August 16, 2009
Monday, July 20, 2009
Thursday, July 2, 2009
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