Thursday, May 28, 2009

Durable Goods Orders
















Link to original Census Data.


It looks terrible all the way down the full table across every sub-sector.

If this BS keeps up I don't understand how the government & talking heads can keep yammering about any H2 09 or 2010 recovery, and I don't see any reason that consumer cash should increase going into H2.

If manufacturing isn't receiving cash for orders then both raw materials commodity suppliers and intermediate/finished goods retailers aren't going to be receiving cash.

The fantastic Treasury auction bid-to-cover ratios indicate that there's still plenty of cash available (in fact, I'd speculate that their cash levels are increasing), but I think the collective foreign & domestic "They" are all still hoarding it.
Consumers don't seem to have cash to be interesting the retailers to order stuff.

I would have thought that with spring & summer construction that there'd be more cash floating about.
Not so.
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