Showing posts with label michigan consumer sentiment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label michigan consumer sentiment. Show all posts

Sunday, August 16, 2009

SPY Week of INSANITY!


Despite all of this, the actual JUL Retail Sales numbers per employee look real good for Q3 EPS, Inventory reduction foster the restocking scenario, and buried in the Michigan Consumer Sentiment PDF was a statement of increased spending for H2.

Q3 & H2 Looks good to me.


Friday, July 10, 2009

Strikes One, Two & Three... Leading to Strike Four?


THU's Same Store Sales (raw data not available) was generally poor.

Today's preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment was surprisingly poor.

It was not far off and fairly reflective of the JUN 30th also (surprisingly) poor JUN Consumer Confidence report.

0830 next TUE will be the week's biggest scheduled econ event: Retail Sales.

JUN Same Store Sales (in red) cover a large % of the Retail Sales total.
I think it fair to extrapolate diminishing data in SSS (maybe even sporting goods, as well) plus a known crack spread decline can't be good for Gasoline Stations (8-9% of total) and we can anticipate a poor non-adjusted JUL Retail Sales.
(The powers that be can divide the real numbers by whatever pie-in-the-sky <1.0)